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Another one of those

#1 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2008-July-08, 02:54

Ax
xxx
AQxx
AKxx

Red against white, Dutch opponents, IMPs.

(3H) - p - (p) - ??
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

- hrothgar
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#2 User is offline   effervesce 

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Posted 2008-July-08, 02:59

I'm torn between passing and 3NT gamble. RHO would often raise with Hx, so partner has reasonable chance of having a heart stopper.

I'd probably pass at the table, especially at this vul-you can easily go many off.

X may be right if partner bids 4m, but the chances of that arent worth the risk IMO.
Ming

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#3 User is offline   rbforster 

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Posted 2008-July-08, 02:59

X with no conviction?
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#4 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2008-July-08, 02:59

I suppose experts will pass this hand, but I'm not an expert, so this is an easy double and pass 3 and raise 4m to 5 hand.
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
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#5 User is offline   mike777 

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Posted 2008-July-08, 02:59

3nt


but this may be very wrong.
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#6 User is offline   hatchett 

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Posted 2008-July-08, 03:09

3NT
It's ok to look silly once in a while.
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#7 User is offline   655321 

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Posted 2008-July-08, 03:10

3NT.

Bidding 3NT on this sort of hand feels more dangerous than doing it on a hand with a running suit - i.e. with this hand there are 2 hurdles to get past. Firstly, partner must be able to stop their suit, and secondly, we need to find 9 tricks.

Nevertheless, it doesn't feel right to pass and settle for a 50 or two, when there may be a vulnerable game.

At least at this vulnerability, the 3 bid does not promise anything at all, so it would not be a surprise if partner has a stopper.
That's impossible. No one can give more than one hundred percent. By definition that is the most anyone can give.
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#8 User is offline   Sambolino 

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Posted 2008-July-08, 03:11

i'm also torn between pass and 3nt; i've seen world class players very often passing with, like, 15 in this position so what's so spectacular about 17
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#9 User is offline   andy_h 

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Posted 2008-July-08, 03:12

I like 3NT. Passing seems like I'm giving up against a favourable preempt. X would be my 2nd choice I suppose. I guess I'm just tempted by the 9 trick game and partner may still be able to provide a heart stopper as favourable preempts can be aggressive.
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#10 User is offline   helene_t 

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Posted 2008-July-08, 04:11

I take "Dutch opponents" as a hint. 3NT.
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#11 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2008-July-08, 05:19

Pass.

I hate 3NT. If I didn't pass, I would double.
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#12 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2008-July-08, 07:42

I hate everything and pass, let the Dutch have the last laugh again.
Kind Regards

Roland


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#13 User is offline   hatchett 

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Posted 2008-July-08, 07:55

Where are Gnasher and Jlall when you need them to discuss the relative merits of +50, -300 and +600?
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#14 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2008-July-08, 08:02

hatchett, on Jul 8 2008, 02:55 PM, said:

Where are Gnasher and Jlall when you need them to discuss the relative merits of +50, -300 and +600?

Surely it's only -200? With a seven-card suit everyone opens four these days, don't they?
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#15 User is offline   nige1 

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Posted 2008-July-08, 08:21

han, on Jul 8 2008, 03:54 AM, said:

Ax
xxx
AQxx
AKxx
Red against white, Dutch opponents, IMPs.
(3H) - p - (p) - ??

IMO 3N = 10, _X = 8, _P = 6.
We play that immediate actions are sound, so we feel that we have to protect on such hands. Dutch treat? :)
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#16 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2008-July-08, 09:16

I don't think this is the right hand for the sexy 3N. I mean, even if partner has a stopper, what makes us think we are taking 9 tricks? I don't mind the stopperless 3N balance... I've made the bid a couple of times at the table and even more often in bidding fora, but I've always held a source of tricks to go with the high cards.. give me even a chunky 5 card minor and I might choose the call, but not here.

And double makes me ill.

So the magic word... pass... ok, so they got us. It won't be the last time.
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
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#17 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2008-July-08, 09:17

Pass.
"Phil" on BBO
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#18 User is offline   NickRW 

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Posted 2008-July-08, 10:23

I suppose it partly depends on what is implied by "Dutch opponents". If that doesn't mean suicide preempts when w/r, then I don't reckon our chances of having a heart stop any better than 50/50 - then we still have to find 9 tricks for 3N.

Double, to my mind, is far too likely get partner excited about his holding of 4 spades.

So I pass. The Dutch got me if that is wrong. Preempts work sometimes - one has to live with it.

Nick
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#19 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-July-08, 10:28

Wow, this is brutal. I went from pass to X, to pass, to 3N, to pass... lol. I think pass is right even though I hate it.
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#20 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2008-July-08, 10:56

you can't be blamed for anything.

I would pass only if they were vulnerable, but given that I play very sound live overcalls it is not an option now.

I would bid 3NT, hearts will often be 6331.
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