Quantumcat, on Nov 6 2008, 08:14 AM, said:
To the people that say 2C bids aren't always 21+: this was one of my original points, was that if you are opening 2C based on extreme distribution but only say 14 or 16 actual HCP, somebody is going to bid, so you may as well open at the 1 level, and save yourself being pre-empted without having even begun to describe your hand. And if you open at the 1 level it won't go all out ... so you still only lose with non-bal non-shapely strong-HCP hands where P can't repond and nobody has any long suits. That's less than the percentage quoted.
I don't think that the 14-16 or so distributional monsters (that you might consider opening 2C) are really the issue. You're right, a high percentage of the time, if you open these with 1x, then someone else is very likely to bid. It is for this reason that you will see quite a lot of the people on this forum advising against a 2C opening on some of these hands (because it weakens your 2C opener and doesn't gain that much). Indeed, even traditional Acol players, who have more 2 level strong options, would think twice about opening some distributional 14 or 15 counts at the 2 level.
The issue has more to do with what do you do with:
23+
22 and not bal
19-21, not bal or semi bal or 3 suited.
These hands do come up - something a bit less than 1% of the time in your hand - about 1.6% or so of the time if you take yours and partners hand combined.
At match points and short team matches, it is potentially a viable option to just forget about these possibilities - they are rare enough to not make much impact at match points and, although the damage is likely to be severe at short team matches when one of these monsters does come up, they probably won't come up.
However, for longer team matches - also if you're a money rubber bridge player - these hands will come up from time to time and you can't ignore them completely. Further, even at other forms of scoring, you'll need quite a tough skin to not be affected by those odd cases of playing in 1x + whatever when the field is playing 6y successfully! One shouldn't underestimate the psychological aspect. If this aspect is at all of concern (but you still don't like the forcing 2C bid), there are other systems out there - most of them pretty good (some would argue they're better) - but they each have their own cost/benefit aspects too.
Nick
"Pass is your friend" - my brother in law - who likes to bid a lot.