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Moysian

#1 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2009-November-06, 09:04

Scoring: IMP

                         pass
pass pass 1♣    1♦
2♦    dbl    pass pass
2♥    pass 4♥    pass
pass pass

1♣ = clubs or balanced
2♦ = invitational+ with clubs

♦5, 2, J, 7
♣8

They lead 4th best.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#2 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2009-November-06, 11:17

I really don't see anything better than to duck the club. If clubs are 5-1, I'll need the spade hook (which seems very possible btw, since it appears LHO led from Txx (acknowledging KTx is possible)).

If clubs are 4-2, I'll win the ♣J, play A♥, ♥ to hand and start running clubs. I'm a little time spent after Roland's hand, so maybe later I'll try to fill in some continuations.
Hi y'all!

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#3 User is offline   ceeb 

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Posted 2009-November-08, 12:29

The spade king must be off-side. Otherwise either RHO has overcalled on ♦QJxxx and out, or LHO has doubled 2♦ and led low from ♦1085.

Unless the ♣8 is a singleton, RHO is playing a very devious defense. A devious defense is possible since RHO more or less knows declarer's hand, but still the odds are against it.

Further, RHO's failure to continue diamonds suggests trumps are breaking.

If all that is true, RHO is a favorite to hold the ♠J. Win the ♣, cross in ♦, low ♠ toward the 10.
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