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We screwed this up, decisions analysis needed

#1 User is offline   CSGibson 

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Posted 2012-January-30, 17:55



Agreements: a 1 level advance of an overcall by an unpassed hand would be a 1 round force, 2 level advances are constructive, but non-forcing. This partnership agrees that 2N would not be natural, so that 3C should show extra values, but that agreement was not explicitly discussed in this particular auction, and the partnership often uses 2N as two places to play.

I would like to solicit opinions as to realistic alternatives and their relative merits in this auction.
Chris Gibson
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#2 User is offline   ggwhiz 

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Posted 2012-January-30, 18:11

I can see 2nt instead of double (no particular interest in the black suits) and I can see a 2 bid over 1.

I'm on the fence for all of the above and don't think either one of you did anything more than fall off the wrong side.
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#3 User is offline   inquiry 

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Posted 2012-January-30, 20:00

Pass after 1 seems right, and is what I would have bid, but I don't object to 2 as long as it is not forcing, and denies heart support.

Over double of 2, 2NT as good/bad and a direct 3 as showing better than going through 2nt seems right to me (Marshal Miles suggest you reverse the normal meaning of good/bad 2nt, so that good hands go through 2nt, and bad hands are bid directly).

The problem, if 3 was stronger than 2nt, is north passing. Partner rates to have very heart shortness, so north's hand is gold, but I understand that wasn't the question.
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#4 User is offline   Flem72 

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Posted 2012-January-30, 22:25

I keep looking at the N hand, and I just keep thinking it looks like a 1NT overcall. Kind of a mutant, but still in the family.
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#5 User is offline   Statto 

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Posted 2012-January-31, 02:53

If 3 shows something, and length, then perhaps North should take further action...
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#6 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2012-January-31, 04:15

North should have bid 3 NT if he thought that this is a lebensohl situation. And it should be. There are two open suits and the double promised both, so no need for scrambling.
I had not doubled with the north hand, as this had shown a shape between 3616 and 4504, I had rebid 2 hearts- and played there. :(
I had surely not passed with the south hand. a nice 6 card suit and 7 HCPS are enough for 2 . This had taken us to 3 NT, a nice spot.
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#7 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2012-January-31, 05:23

IMO south has a game force, so he should start with 3 and bid 4 over 3, pass 3NT
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#8 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2012-January-31, 05:29

Let me play devil's advocate.

If South passes 1H, then there should be no game on. Hence 2NT doesn't make much sense as Lebensohl. But how can there be two places to play if spades where bypassed? Well, anyway. I don't think there's any blame here. Both players took reasonable actions that could have worked better on other setups.
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#9 User is offline   phil_20686 

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Posted 2012-January-31, 05:40

View Postwhereagles, on 2012-January-31, 05:29, said:

Let me play devil's advocate.

If South passes 1H, then there should be no game on. Hence 2NT doesn't make much sense as Lebensohl. But how can there be two places to play if spades where bypassed? Well, anyway. I don't think there's any blame here. Both players took reasonable actions that could have worked better on other setups.


Unfortunately this just isnt true. Often with hands with no support its dangerous to bid 1N on an 8 count, even though you know that partner will sometimes have a 17-18 count for his 1S overcall. In lots of these auctiosn where partner is potentially still very strong its % to pass anyway, even though you can make game opposite 15 counts with a large seconddary fit. Here for example, north could just have AKx Axxxx x Axxx and slam is a favourite, but we are not criticising pass too much.

Thus lebensohl still makes sense here, even though it is limted it now needs a good suit, not just HCP. I think lebensohl still makes sense. If you play NFB by a passed hand here that is a perfectly god method, and then 2N just seems impossible. That would have helped you on this hand, but it can hinder on others.
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#10 User is offline   kayin801 

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Posted 2012-January-31, 08:28

I posted a hand similar to N's hand a while ago except the major was spades and everyone thought I was crazy for not starting with X. I'm actually pretty sure this one is better than mine so I like X to start. Maybe then it goes, with no opps bidding, 2C-2H-2S-3C-3D-3NT.
I once yelled at my partner for discarding the 'wrong' card when he was subjected to a squeeze that I allowed by giving the wrong count with too high a card. Now he's allowed to pitch aces when the opponents have the king in the dummy. At trick 2. When he could have followed suit. And blame me.

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#11 User is offline   ArtK78 

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Posted 2012-January-31, 09:39

View Postkayin801, on 2012-January-31, 08:28, said:

I posted a hand similar to N's hand a while ago except the major was spades and everyone thought I was crazy for not starting with X. I'm actually pretty sure this one is better than mine so I like X to start. Maybe then it goes, with no opps bidding, 2C-2H-2S-3C-3D-3NT.

I don't remember anything about any previous post, but the idea of doubling and then bidding hearts on this hand makes me ill. A 1NT overcall would be better than doubling and bidding hearts, and I can't see making a 1NT overcall on this hand.

1 seems right. The rest of the auction is difficult, and stems from the fact that the overcall was made on a strong hand with a weak suit, which often leads to problems.
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#12 User is offline   nigel_k 

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Posted 2012-January-31, 13:44

IMO North's actions were fine. Maybe the double is questionable but North is in a tough spot after choosing to overcall 1, which I agree with. South needed to do more over the double and visualising some possible North hands would show that game is there quite often and stopping in 4 will usually be ok otherwise.
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#13 User is offline   aguahombre 

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Posted 2012-January-31, 17:52

a 2C advance of the 1H overcall looks like what the OP describes it would be...constructive but non-forcing. Because South's 3C later must be less than this, it properly ended the auction in North's eyes. However, because 2C would be a borderline decision we would just chalk it up to "oh,well" if we didn't choose 2C and not consider it "screwing up", rather just South choosing the low road.
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#14 User is offline   HighLow21 

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Posted 2012-January-31, 18:34

On the auction, South will usually bid 2S over the takeout double of 2D. He doesn't. He bids 3C. This is more than a minimum because it forces the partnership to the 3 level. Meanwhile, the takeout doubler has no values wasted in his original suit (opposite what is sure to be heart shortness), has 1st and 2nd round control of the opener's suit, has AQx support in clubs, and 1st round control of spades.

You couldn't design a better fit in a laboratory.

It is moot whether takeout doubler should (1) Shoot 3NT or 5C, (2) cue-bid 4D showing slam interest, (3) bid Blackwood asking for aces, with the intention of raising a 5C response to 6C, and either (3a) going 6C over 5D response, or (3b) asking for kings with 5NT or cue-bidding 5S to express grand slam interest in clubs. I realize 3b is extremely aggressive, but there is every reason to believe 7C has a play if partner has the heart ace and club king.

Passing 3C is what you would do holding (S) KQx (H) KQxxx (D) xx © A10x. Your hand plays at least 2 tricks better than that in clubs.
There is a big difference between a good decision and a good result. Let's keep our posts about good decisions rather than "gotcha" results!
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#15 User is offline   CSGibson 

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Posted 2012-January-31, 19:10

View PostHighLow21, on 2012-January-31, 18:34, said:


Passing 3C is what you would do holding (S) KQx (H) KQxxx (D) xx © A10x. Your hand plays at least 2 tricks better than that in clubs.


But you wouldn't X 2 opposite a partner who wasn't able to advance your 1 overcall with that pile of crap, so that hand is moot. Partner is showing a top-of-the-range overcall.

In my opinion, having read those posts, I like north's auction, and I think South should cue-bid 3 (raising 3 to 4, passing 3N, and bidding 4 over any other action) It probably doesn't get us to the garden spot of 6 clubs, but it certainly gets us to the vulnerable game.

Just to clarify, I was south on this auction, and I was not happy with my original pass (though I was even less happy about all other actions), and I was thoroughly aware that partner might not be on the same page as to 3 showing extra values. Discussing it with my partner later, he revealed that he was not happy with 1 or X, either, but liked them better than all of the other available calls. He was definitely not on the same page as me regarding whether 3 directly showed extra values.
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#16 User is offline   HighLow21 

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Posted 2012-January-31, 19:21

We're talking about 14 vs. 17 HCP. The hand I mentioned earlier is anything but a pile of crap. It has 14 HCP and 3 quick tricks.

Technically he was too strong for 1H overcall originally. Most modern bidders double first anytime they have 17+. Overcaller's actual hand was 17 HCP including no jacks at all, and 3 aces. It is a super-maximum overcall.

But given that he has nothing wasted in hearts, given that responder was silent over a minimally-intrusive overcall, given that opener could do nothing over 1H than rebid a suit in which he has no more than 3HCP, all of these factors scream that the overcaller's partner has points. That he didn't support hearts means he has 2 of them at most. Whether he has spades or clubs, the most possible losers outside of trumps (spades or clubs) is 3 and will almost always be fewer than that. (There are actually only 1).

Both overcaller and overcaller's responder grossly underbid, but I tend to put more blame on overcaller. There is simply no way he could know he held an uber-prime 17 HCP with NONE of them in hearts, none of them in jacks, and only 2 of them in queens. (The queen being in responder's long suit).

Again, I cannot design a better-fitting 17 HCP hand in a lab. There are 22-counts that would have more losers. 3C is a slight underbid, but 1H and especially the pass of 3C are borderline criminal!
There is a big difference between a good decision and a good result. Let's keep our posts about good decisions rather than "gotcha" results!
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#17 User is offline   aguahombre 

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Posted 2012-January-31, 20:16

View PostHighLow21, on 2012-January-31, 18:34, said:

On the auction, South will usually bid 2S over the takeout double of 2D. He doesn't. He bids 3C. This is more than a minimum because it forces the partnership to the 3 level.

This is only because you are looking at his four spades. His partner doesn't have that same inference.
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#18 User is offline   HighLow21 

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Posted 2012-January-31, 20:27

No, what I'm saying is that if partner has a complete bust handhe will tend to bid 2S instead of 3C because he only has to take 8 tricks rather than 9 to fulfill.
There is a big difference between a good decision and a good result. Let's keep our posts about good decisions rather than "gotcha" results!
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#19 User is offline   aguahombre 

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Posted 2012-January-31, 20:56

oh, O.K., he will opt to play a 3-3 fit one level lower than the six-three or six-four after the double of 2D with, say, JTX X Txx KJXXXX.
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#20 User is offline   HighLow21 

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Posted 2012-January-31, 21:54

Yes, he might, especially given that the TO double distorts your shape. It suggests at least 6 cards in the unbid suits.

Also, he would never respond 2S with that specific hand. He might though if he held (S) Jxxx (H) 10 (D) 9x © 10xxxxx.
There is a big difference between a good decision and a good result. Let's keep our posts about good decisions rather than "gotcha" results!
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