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Where´s the King?

#1 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2013-October-21, 16:35



Leftie leads J, so the question is simple: Where is K?

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#2 User is offline   Hanoi5 

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Posted 2013-October-21, 17:23

The A is to our right, but not much than that can be known. Maybe the other Ace is on the left. But then we're kinda stuck.

I'd say the King is to the left 'cause the lead was a club not a heart, but apart from that I don't see any clue.

 wyman, on 2012-May-04, 09:48, said:

Also, he rates to not have a heart void when he leads the 3.


 rbforster, on 2012-May-20, 21:04, said:

Besides playing for fun, most people also like to play bridge to win


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#3 User is offline   manudude03 

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Posted 2013-October-22, 02:23

I duck because I think it's more likely that LHO would fail to find the heart switch with Jxxx or something than it is that RHO would do the same.
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#4 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2013-October-22, 04:06

I don't think I can draw any useful inferences from the bidding. xx KJ10x Axx Axxx isn't enough for RHO to make a takeout double of 2NT at this vulnerability. x KJ10x Axx Axxxx would be enough, but if he has that hand I'm going down regardless of what I do.

I can think of two conflicting factors:
- I know of two of LHO's cards, but only one of RHO's. Hence RHO is a priori 12:11 to have K.
- LHO led a club not a heart. With similar club and heart holdings he might have led a club. That suggests LHO is more likely to have the K.

I'm not convinced by the second of these. With something like xx Kxxx Axx J10xx he might have led a heart anyway, so the club lead might suggest a heart holding like Jxxx. Hence I play RHO for K, and I cover J.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#5 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2013-October-22, 07:47

In reality I had a system misshap and played 4. Which was almost the same, just that it required diamonds 2-2, and the player with A to have K as well combined with spades coming for one loser and no trump control problem.

All of this was avialable on the hand, but I still went down for missguessing at trick 1.

I supose I could make this one a good problem if you have to play 4 and RHO is a passed hand.
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