Posting from phone so no diagram, sorry.
KJ
976
AQ9652
54
A53
AKQ
K
AJT872
IMPS. The auction is 2N-6N. Lead:HJ
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Play 6N
#2
Posted 2015-June-04, 03:05
I would play on diamonds and spade finesse, when ♠J works we need diamonds 4-2 or better, a bit more than 40%, when it loses we still have ♦3-3 or ♦J10 falling for another extra 20% or so, so over 60%.
Playing on clubs we need ♣3-2 with a honnor onside, 3/4 or 68% should be around 51%, we can't even catch ♣KQxx onside as we will need to cash ♦Q while on dummy, and might fall for west's trap if he ducks the club from ♣Kx(x)
Playing on clubs we need ♣3-2 with a honnor onside, 3/4 or 68% should be around 51%, we can't even catch ♣KQxx onside as we will need to cash ♦Q while on dummy, and might fall for west's trap if he ducks the club from ♣Kx(x)
#3
Posted 2015-June-04, 03:06
Boring plan: Spade to the king, club hook, overtake diamond, another club hook.
The world would be such a happy place, if only everyone played Acol :) --- TramTicket
#4
Posted 2015-June-04, 03:35
club hook should work 75%? of the time and be enough for small slam. lots of entries so i would go with this approach
edit : i like fluffy's plan better
edit : i like fluffy's plan better
#5
Posted 2015-June-04, 09:42
Fluffy, on 2015-June-04, 03:05, said:
I would play on diamonds and spade finesse, when ♠J works we need diamonds 4-2 or better, a bit more than 40%, when it loses we still have ♦3-3 or ♦J10 falling for another extra 20% or so, so over 60%.
Playing on clubs we need ♣3-2 with a honnor onside, 3/4 or 68% should be around 51%, we can't even catch ♣KQxx onside as we will need to cash ♦Q while on dummy, and might fall for west's trap if he ducks the club from ♣Kx(x)
Playing on clubs we need ♣3-2 with a honnor onside, 3/4 or 68% should be around 51%, we can't even catch ♣KQxx onside as we will need to cash ♦Q while on dummy, and might fall for west's trap if he ducks the club from ♣Kx(x)
I don't think it is as clear as that. Say we overtake a diamond and hook a club and, if it holds cash the club ace. If West blows we still have some play for the contract by hooking the spade (JTx West or JT tight in either hand).
#6
Posted 2015-June-04, 14:02
In Fluffy's line you have an extra chance in clubs when the spade finesse wins but diamonds don't split.
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.
- hrothgar
- hrothgar
#7
Posted 2015-June-04, 14:44
goingoren, on 2015-June-04, 03:35, said:
club hook should work 75%? of the time and be enough for small slam. lots of entries so i would go with this approach
edit : i like fluffy's plan better
edit : i like fluffy's plan better
Club hook is only 57.09%. You lose to every 4=1,1=4 break except 9-KQ64, 5=0, 0=5, and 3=2/2=3 with KQ off-side.
If your 7♣ was the 9♣ then it's 68.39%.
#8
Posted 2015-June-04, 15:47
Trick13, on 2015-June-04, 14:44, said:
Club hook is only 57.09%. You lose to every 4=1,1=4 break except 9-KQ64, 5=0, 0=5, and 3=2/2=3 with KQ off-side.
If your 7♣ was the 9♣ then it's 68.39%.
If your 7♣ was the 9♣ then it's 68.39%.
Stiff 9 doesn't help you either, since you have to set up a diamond trick in order to pick up the putative KQxx.
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