[mycroft]

To me, a decision that:

• the chance that partner opened 3♥ second unfavourable won't be on Q-high is very low;
  
• but it's highly unlikely that partner opened with AKxxxxx;
  
• but even if he did, he wouldn't have any outside K;
  
• and likely not anything that would make a good squeeze chance (Q and a fourth diamond I guess, but isn't AK-to-7, Qx and a void too much for 3?)
  
• and our system can't find the ♦J;
  
• and even if 7's there, I'm going to get 70% for 1460 (more than 70% if 1460 requires the squeeze!), after all this isn't day 3 of the BRP, it's a field that contains both eagles123 and ERod;
  
• and I expect to average 65% on the rest of the boards - I expect maybe 5% if we're in 7 and the squeeze doesn't work;

why would I not just blast what I think I can make rather than pinpoint the defence (if there is one) looking for 7?

[Gilithin]

LBengtsson, on 2022-July-12, 08:16, said:

If Mr Rodwell's partner knows how aggressive he is why the hurry to bid 6♥, why not bid RKCB first?

Maybe he was playing with a client and didn't have firm agreements about what 4♣ or 4NT would be over 3♥? Or maybe he just wanted a fast round for a smoke break. It's not like he's playing a BB here.