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How to calculate the probability of four by 4333 hands

#21 User is offline   thepossum 

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Posted 2024-March-11, 16:28

deleted - weird
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#22 User is offline   thepossum 

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Posted 2024-March-11, 18:35

I apologise

Something weird is going on with cross posting on two different threads at the same time

EDIT I do feel somwewhat remiss at not putting my sim code up yet lol - if I have to do I will try to find it for full review - and my rather back of an envelope attempt at estimating an error :)

Today's estimate is 0.00109 +/-0.0002045 95% (n=100,000) lol
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#23 User is offline   thepossum 

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Posted 2024-March-11, 18:39

 pescetom, on 2024-February-18, 16:02, said:

Thanks, which is the original paper that you refer to?
Manual shuffling is becoming history, but even when we still did it I didn't see that many good riffle shuffles, let alone more than 3 repetitions.
My perception is that the effect of sloppy shuffling was huge and I certainly would hate to return to those deals.


Without much formal knowledge of shuffling theory packs go bad
Its like cricket you need to change packs occasionally

And much as I can't prove it I sense regularly that we are not always playing random hands. I have argued this before

It seems to vary by tourney type. Just a sense

But I fear nothing can be done to rehabilitate a bad pack

I always love the experience of picking up a new hand and sorting it

- reestablished what I hope is in the right place - something keeps being mixed up - not sure how - maybe just me having several devices and edit threads open simultaneously lol - like the old days with seemingly corrupted symbolic links
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