Stephen Tu, on 2014-March-17, 17:17, said:
I really don't think you can use success vs. robot defenders to suggest what works in the real world against competent opps.
Hence the caveat with which I opened my post.
Stephen Tu, on 2014-March-17, 17:17, said:
You are taking advantage of a situation where you can essentially play illegally, having a concealed partnership agreement of frequent concealment of 4 cd majors without disclosure against opps who have no way of being informed of this.
Absolutely not. No-one, least of all I, advocates having implicit concealed understandings, and I trust that you do not suggest that this is possible in the robot tourney environment or that the action is in anyway illegal, "essentially" or otherwise, in that environment.
Much of the success of the policy in the robot world is reliant on opponents' trust in your bid. Were you capable of disclosing to the robot a high frequency tendency to psych, then the benefits would evaporate. Were you to do this with a regular partner in a F2F game sufficiently frequently as to require disclosure, that is indeed the outcome that would result. And some of the benefit would dissipate even on the first occasion because the possibility of a lie should be apparent to the human defenders. However small a likelihood, it will be greater than the zero likelihood assumed by a robot. But judging by the prevalent advice in this thread (that it is virtually never right to lie) then the opponents are equally versed in that optimal strategy so the perceived likelihood, while positive, will be sufficiently small for some comparison with the robot environment to be more reasonable.
Stephen Tu, on 2014-March-17, 17:17, said:
Plus playing against opps who are super-rigid about possible NT distributions and point count, and have a tendency to be passive and not lead long suits. Or lead long suits then not continue them because of inability to read signals! This is a pretty much perfect environment to play in the "wrong" contract and do better. I don't think this works against decent humans.
OP's question is about bridge in general, not how to take max advantage against current GIB software design limitations.
Again, hence the opening caveat.
The point about trying these things out in the robot environment is that you have the opportunity to test out a hypothesis, such as the benefits of lying in response to Stayman, with a very high frequency without "essentially playing illegally" where such a tactic in a F2F game would very definitely be illegal. Were you to conclude on the basis of those results, that the tactic has legs in a F2F environment, then in order to keep it legal while avoiding a disclosure requirement which would eliminate the benefits, you would have to tone down the frequency. But the high frequency in robot tourneys is simply in order to get a large population of hands to examine in a relatively short time frame.
For sure, you would have to make adjustments to the success rate to account for misdefences by robots that you might not expect a human to make on the same information (such as finding the killing lead and then switching when declarer ducks). Provided that you are capable of doing this, the exercise still has merits.
I think that there is a growing tendency among humans to lead short suits against NT, more in line with the way that robots play (to trick 1). Maybe it is an improved technique, but it increases I think the defenders' exposure to this psych.
Psych (pron. saik): A gross and deliberate misstatement of honour strength and/or suit length. Expressly permitted under Law 73E but forbidden contrary to that law by Acol club tourneys.
Psyche (pron. sahy-kee): The human soul, spirit or mind (derived, personification thereof, beloved of Eros, Greek myth).
Masterminding (pron. m
s
t
r-m
nd
ing) tr. v. - Any bid made by bridge player with which partner disagrees.
"Gentlemen, when the barrage lifts." 9th battalion, King's own Yorkshire light infantry,
2000 years earlier: "morituri te salutant"
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