Interested if people see it as the percentage play, or a low percentage gamble?
3N decision
#1
Posted 2016-June-08, 05:22
Interested if people see it as the percentage play, or a low percentage gamble?
#2
Posted 2016-June-08, 06:19
That said, the description of 3♦ is bollox. 5+ points? Is it really unlimited? That will make opener's decisions difficult.
edit: OP fixed per below. 3NT is still bad - worse, even, since responder cannot now have a good hand.
-gwnn
#3
Posted 2016-June-08, 06:22
billw55, on 2016-June-08, 06:19, said:
That said, the description of 3♦ is bollox. 5+ points? Is it really unlimited? That will make opener's decisions difficult.
Sry for the bolloxology Bill, the 3D bid is indeed weak, so 5-9. I'll correct the OP.
#5
Posted 2016-June-08, 07:06
#6
Posted 2016-June-08, 07:14
el mister, on 2016-June-08, 05:22, said:
Insane at MP or IMPS.
Vs Bots everything is possible, I can see myself bidding it if I am on tilt.
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"
"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."
#7
Posted 2016-June-08, 07:41
X
Xx
AKxxxx
Xxxx
But I've seen some heavy preempts from the bots and bids like 3N sometimes pay off because they do silly things like lead diamonds on this bidding. But I'll pass and try to win the tourney on another hand.
Winner - BBO Challenge bracket #6 - February, 2017.
#8
Posted 2016-June-08, 08:19
Phil, on 2016-June-08, 07:41, said:
X
Xx
AKxxxx
Xxxx
But I've seen some heavy preempts from the bots and bids like 3N sometimes pay off because they do silly things like lead diamonds on this bidding. But I'll pass and try to win the tourney on another hand.
The bot showed up with something similar, for a making 3N:
XX
X
AQXXX
QXXXX
So I was wondering about the bid in retrospect. Have to say I didn't think it was all that wild, so maybe I need to re-calibrate. Thanks all.
#9
Posted 2016-June-08, 09:04
I upvoted INSANE, although I was going to say SUICIDAL. No need to fuss over exact wording.
Bridge can be fun because sometimes even the craziest contracts come in.
#10
Posted 2016-June-08, 09:08
el mister, on 2016-June-08, 08:19, said:
XX
X
AQXXX
QXXXX
So I was wondering about the bid in retrospect. Have to say I didn't think it was all that wild, so maybe I need to re-calibrate. Thanks all.
It looks like 3NT still needs a lot of help. Even with five tricks in diamonds (fortunate), that is only 8. Maybe an unfortunate opening lead gave you another trick? Heart is possible, but a club is unfathomable on this auction.
Anyway, not a contract you should be bidding in any normal circumstance.
-gwnn
#11
Posted 2016-June-08, 10:07
el mister, on 2016-June-08, 08:19, said:
At the risk of counting HCP, we have 13 and partner has 5-9. You could optimistically assume 8-9 from the silence of the opposition, but that is still, assuming I can trust my calculations, a total of 21-22 with no known source of tricks and no guarantee of stops everywhere. Yes, it is wild.
George Carlin
#12
Posted 2016-June-08, 12:14
#13
Posted 2016-June-09, 08:26
If it is weak, there is no question since you have a minimum opening and you'd surely have no problem calling Pass.
If it is invitational, I think you should still have no problem calling Pass. Not only do you have a minimum (13 HCP) balanced hand, but your likely source of tricks suit - diamonds - is weak.
If the 3D bid is strong, I think 3NT is pretty clear. Your hand is balanced and, despite the weakness in the club suit, you do have an honor there and you should steer toward the 9 trick, rather than 11 trick game. This is not a hand to look for a heart Moysian fit game either; regardless, even if you bid 3H, partner is quite unlikely to raise to 4H and, instead, might bypass 3NT with concerns about the spade stopper (inasmuch as your AK make it fairly likely partner's spade holding is weak).
#14
Posted 2016-June-09, 08:33
Caitlynne, on 2016-June-09, 08:26, said:
#15
Posted 2016-June-09, 08:45
#17
Posted 2016-June-09, 10:02
#18
Posted 2016-June-09, 10:14
#19
Posted 2016-June-09, 12:09
Vs the bots in an Instant Tourney, pass unless this is one of the final boards and you think you need a large positive score very badly. In that case, you can try 3NT and pray.
#20
Posted 2016-June-10, 14:10
with that said if I knew I was loosing the
match at imps and we r red 3nt is worth a shot!!