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High-level Decision

#21 User is offline   miamijd 

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Posted 2016-November-03, 18:11

View Postjogs, on 2016-November-03, 12:57, said:

Qxxx xxxx Kxx xx

I think this is a 5 call.


Not even close. Pass in a flash.
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#22 User is offline   miamijd 

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Posted 2016-November-03, 18:14

View PostPhil, on 2016-November-03, 17:49, said:

This thread has lost its collective mind.

5H shows a really good hand! JDonn's rule for pulling a double at the five level is a "good weak 2 (or better").

If partner opened a weak 2h would you really be parking this in game?


5H doesn't show a really good hand in expert standard. It shows a hand that thinks 5H will be better than defending 5C.

So

Qxxx T9xxxxs x x

You really think you want to pass 5C here?
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#23 User is offline   Jinksy 

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Posted 2016-November-03, 20:30

View Postmiamijd, on 2016-November-03, 11:41, said:

Qxxx xxxxxx Kx x

Qxxx T9xxxxs x x


Pass 5x on both.

Partner has to double on most strong hands that aren't so distributional they can bid their own suit (or cuebid). So if you bid 5, you might well find him/her with AKJxx x AQJx AQx (or substantially worse).

Part of the reasoning PK gave for needing playing strength to pull is so you have a reasonable chance at bidding your slams.
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#24 User is offline   MrAce 

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Posted 2016-November-03, 21:24

I think suggesting bidding 5 with only good hands over DBL means = We can not play at 5 level. We either pass or bid slam or grandslam.

I would bid 5 on any 6+ card and 0 hcp.

My goal is not to bid the only hands where pd can bid slam or grandslam. My priority is to reach to par as much as possible.

Especially the way Americans open 5 minor, which is as rare as seeing a unicorn compared to Europeans, because Americans also love to open 4m as natural, passing double wins much less than it is supposed to.
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#25 User is offline   MrAce 

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Posted 2016-November-03, 21:32

View PostFluffy, on 2016-November-03, 10:28, said:

partner bid an empty heart suit?, something is not right, and I would need to know my partner to know what is he thinking about. My first instinct is to bid 7, or at least try it.


Yeah pd has

AQx
Txxxxxx
Jx
x
"Genius has its own limitations, however stupidity has no such boundaries!"
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"

"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."





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#26 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2016-November-03, 21:54

View Postmiamijd, on 2016-November-03, 18:14, said:

5H doesn't show a really good hand in expert standard. It shows a hand that thinks 5H will be better than defending 5C.

So

Qxxx T9xxxxs x x

You really think you want to pass 5C here?


Yes I do and it isn't close.

This is the type of hand where you can expect a reopening x from partner, and then you can bid 5. If partner passes 5, you will get a small plus and while its possible you can take 11 tricks, its a huge underdog if partner cannot reopen. Furthermore, there needs to be some definition to a 5 call, since some posters seem to imply its OK to make the call on a 12 count or a 0 count.
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#27 User is offline   msjennifer 

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Posted 2016-November-04, 06:01

Pass.Having ni idea whatsoever what partner has got,it's no use going ahead
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#28 User is offline   MrAce 

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Posted 2016-November-04, 08:25

View PostPhil, on 2016-November-03, 21:54, said:

Yes I do and it isn't close.

This is the type of hand where you can expect a reopening x from partner, and then you can bid 5. If partner passes 5, you will get a small plus and while its possible you can take 11 tricks, its a huge underdog if partner cannot reopen. Furthermore, there needs to be some definition to a 5 call, since some posters seem to imply its OK to make the call on a 12 count or a 0 count.


It is not close for you. You would be amazed of the names who passes this 5 and who advocates bidding 5 with many shapely hands. They disagree with your explanation of JDonn's rule. I mean not only disagree but STRONGLY disagree. There are many shapely hands for them to bid 5 3721 2650 etc etc without needing any beans over 5 dbl. And that is how I been bidding over the double of my partner at 4 or 5 level. Yes, what JDonn says make sense if you are bidding with an 6322 hand.

And ....are you sure you are looking at the same diagram I am looking? What reopening X are you talking about? Pd already doubled 5 and if you pass, it is over. Nobody will reopen it bro! Posted Image
I knew from your comments that something just does not add up.
"Genius has its own limitations, however stupidity has no such boundaries!"
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"

"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."





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#29 User is offline   Kaitlyn S 

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Posted 2016-November-04, 09:02

View PostPhil, on 2016-November-03, 21:54, said:

Yes I do and it isn't close.

This is the type of hand where you can expect a reopening x from partner, and then you can bid 5. If partner passes 5, you will get a small plus and while its possible you can take 11 tricks, its a huge underdog if partner cannot reopen. Furthermore, there needs to be some definition to a 5 call, since some posters seem to imply its OK to make the call on a 12 count or a 0 count.

I think you answered what you would do directly over 5C and the question was meant to be what you do over 5C doubled by partner.
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#30 User is offline   Kaitlyn S 

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Posted 2016-November-04, 09:02

View PostPhil, on 2016-November-03, 21:54, said:

Yes I do and it isn't close.

This is the type of hand where you can expect a reopening x from partner, and then you can bid 5. If partner passes 5, you will get a small plus and while its possible you can take 11 tricks, its a huge underdog if partner cannot reopen. Furthermore, there needs to be some definition to a 5 call, since some posters seem to imply its OK to make the call on a 12 count or a 0 count.

I think you answered what you would do directly over 5C and the question was meant to be what you do over 5C doubled by partner.

Nobody bids with this hand directly over 5C, do they?
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#31 User is offline   miamijd 

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Posted 2016-November-04, 13:27

View PostPhil, on 2016-November-03, 21:54, said:

Yes I do and it isn't close.

This is the type of hand where you can expect a reopening x from partner, and then you can bid 5. If partner passes 5, you will get a small plus and while its possible you can take 11 tricks, its a huge underdog if partner cannot reopen. Furthermore, there needs to be some definition to a 5 call, since some posters seem to imply its OK to make the call on a 12 count or a 0 count.


Reopening X from partner? Huh? Partner has doubled 5C and you have to pass for penalties or take out to 5H. Passing for penalties will lose a lot more often than it will win, despite what Josh Donn may say.
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#32 User is offline   mike777 

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Posted 2016-November-04, 17:36

edit

This thread has lost its collective mind.

5H shows a really good hand! JDonn's rule for pulling a double at the five level is a "good weak 2 (or better").

If partner opened a weak 2h would you really be parking this in game?


Interesting Phil I had not heard of this before, thanks for the post.
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#33 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2016-November-04, 18:39

View PostMrAce, on 2016-November-04, 08:25, said:

It is not close for you. You would be amazed of the names who passes this 5 and who advocates bidding 5 with many shapely hands. They disagree with your explanation of JDonn's rule. I mean not only disagree but STRONGLY disagree. There are many shapely hands for them to bid 5 3721 2650 etc etc without needing any beans over 5 dbl. And that is how I been bidding over the double of my partner at 4 or 5 level. Yes, what JDonn says make sense if you are bidding with an 6322 hand.

And ....are you sure you are looking at the same diagram I am looking? What reopening X are you talking about? Pd already doubled 5 and if you pass, it is over. Nobody will reopen it bro! Posted Image
I knew from your comments that something just does not add up.


Yes, I misread the auction - I thought partner had another turn.

What big names are you talking about Timo? I don't see a BW poll that asks this question. Maybe I will make one myself.
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#34 User is offline   MrAce 

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Posted 2016-November-05, 02:07

View PostPhil, on 2016-November-04, 18:39, said:

Yes, I misread the auction - I thought partner had another turn.

What big names are you talking about Timo? I don't see a BW poll that asks this question. Maybe I will make one myself.


I asked myself Phil. Among them was Richard, Jim Munday, Ira, Tokay and Thor.

You must be talking about this poll...

http://bridgewinners...m-2-xw95b1xovb/

So far 100% of people bid 5, including JDonn!
"Genius has its own limitations, however stupidity has no such boundaries!"
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"

"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."





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#35 User is offline   nige1 

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Posted 2016-November-05, 07:47

View PostMrAce, on 2016-November-05, 02:07, said:

I asked myself Phil. Among them was Richard, Jim Munday, Ira, Tokay and Thor. You must be talking about this poll...

http://bridgewinners...m-2-xw95b1xovb/

So far 100% of people bid 5, including JDonn!
Holding Q x x x T x x x x x x x x, (T but no 9), when partner doubles 5, Mr Ace bids 5 and so would many of us. But we would also bid 5 on stronger hands.
Opposite K J x A K Q J x A Q x x K, you need quite a lot to make a slam, but the 5-level is a "sixpence" and, IMO, partner is more likely to hold a slam-suitable candidate. It's a question of frequency and judgement. On this occasion, Mr Ace judges better and pass is the winning action.
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#36 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2016-November-05, 08:48

Yes, I was surprised by the poll. As I said over there, 74 is pretty tempting. Maybe I'll wait a few months and post a slightly different auction where we have a weak hand and we are 64
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#37 User is offline   Jinksy 

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Posted 2016-November-05, 10:15

Does anyone have an email address for Phil King? He doesn't seem to check these forums any more, but now I really want to hear his input on this question.
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#38 User is offline   Jinksy 

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Posted 2016-November-12, 08:01

I ran into PK last night, and quizzed him about this thread - I hope he won't mind me posting his view as well as I can remember it here:

  • He would bid 5 if not on the bridgewinners hand, then on one not too dissimilar from it, given the extreme shape (he gave an example of an extreme weakish hand on which he would pull that unfortunately I can't remember <_< )
  • He would still raise 5 to 6 (not looking for a grand), rating P to have a strong hand sufficiently often to justify it
  • He thinks (not 100% I've got the reasoning here right) that if you don't double on a lot of hands where a slightly less extreme version of the bridgewinners hand would have no play in 5, you open yourself to exploitation from aggressive 5-level bidders who will play undoubled costing you a game, or if you play the X as particularly takeout oriented you let yourself get pushed into unmakeable 5-level contracts by the same aggressive bidding when their contract was surely going off. His impression is that such aggression is more common in Europe than North America, possibly explaining people from the latter's greater tendency to want to pull the X

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#39 User is offline   lamford 

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Posted 2016-November-12, 08:41

View PostJinksy, on 2016-November-05, 10:15, said:

Does anyone have an email address for Phil King? He doesn't seem to check these forums any more, but now I really want to hear his input on this question.

As do I. Especially as he has a large database of top hands.
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#40 User is offline   Jinksy 

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Posted 2016-November-12, 11:20

Did you see the post immediately above yours?
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