18-19 balanced with a fit?
#21
Posted 2017-October-26, 12:08
Yes it's POSSIBLE that 3nt plays better than 4H. But is it percentage?? Maybe someone should run a sim.
I don't want to miss my 4-4 heart fits when partner is 34(15) or 3424 or 2425. Or my NINE card heart fit when partner is 5332 and decides not to check back for what he thinks is only 8 cd possible heart fit.
#22
Posted 2017-October-26, 12:27
(3H - the standard bid on an unexceptional 18-19 with a fit)
George Carlin
#23
Posted 2017-October-26, 12:32
Give him
S xxx
H Kxxxx
D x
C Qxxx
And he passes 2N when 4H is cold.
I choose 3H, expecting partner to accept on this hand and on most hands where 4H has good play. We always reach H and stay out of all bad games.
#24
Posted 2017-October-26, 12:38
#25
Posted 2017-October-26, 13:05
bravejason, on 2017-October-26, 12:38, said:
Not raising hearts is the overthinking IMO.
Responder with 4 hearts and a minor stiff or small doubleton is passing 2nt or bidding 3. Not going to offer another suit. 3m is usually artificial and/or forcing. They aren't going to checkback because 5m is too remote vs 3nt, it reveals more to the defense than just raising, and going through checkback will often lead to opener supporting on THREE at the 4 level which they really don't want.
I can understand concealing heart fit with 4 baby hearts and the outside suits all double stopped. Not this hand.
#26
Posted 2017-October-26, 13:42
As for 2NT or 3H, you can't make those bids at IMPs, where you gotta bid your games. If you bid 2NT or 3H, you deserve to play there when partner tables:
xxx Kxxxx x QTxx
Best,
Mike
#27
Posted 2017-October-26, 14:26
miamijd, on 2017-October-26, 13:42, said:
As for 2NT or 3H, you can't make those bids at IMPs, where you gotta bid your games. If you bid 2NT or 3H, you deserve to play there when partner tables:
xxx Kxxxx x QTxx
Best,
Mike
Vulnerable, teams, I doubt I'd have the power to not bid 4♥. Away from the table, objectively, I don't see the hand as 19 points, rather a poor 18. That all said, remove one of the minor suit jacks, where 4♥ isn't as tempting, what would more accurately describe the hand, 2N or 3♥? Just curious.
Surrendering to existential truth is the beginning of enlightenment.
#28
Posted 2017-October-27, 03:27
miamijd, on 2017-October-26, 13:42, said:
As for 2NT or 3H, you can't make those bids at IMPs, where you gotta bid your games. If you bid 2NT or 3H, you deserve to play there when partner tables:
xxx Kxxxx x QTxx
Best,
Mike
That's a pretty obvious 4H bid (over 1C-1H; 3H) to me. You have a singleton and 5 trumps. There's nothing contradictory about accepting an invitation on a minimum response. This is a minimum 3514 (which should accept), not a minimum 3433 (which should not accept).
to clarify, though, I think 4H is by no means awful, it is my second choice.
George Carlin
#31
Posted 2017-October-27, 07:18
#32
Posted 2017-October-27, 08:05
steve2005, on 2017-October-26, 07:24, said:
Also, partner is allowed to pass 2N. Without knowing you have 4-hearts partner won't know his hearts are running or 1-loser so may pass close hand that will make game.
If you have convention that shows balanced 4-card support then great but without it you need to show your support.
And why should we “presume” that he may be unbalanced? If indeed he has one he shall certainly make a checkback in which case one can easily jump to four heart.We don’t IMAGINE that partner “ likely” has ruffing values!And if one has not discussed
how to bid further on this sequence then the best bid is 3H. However such a suit jump only shows that the opener has a SIX loser hand as played in a heart contract whereas this hand has 7 losers.It is possible that partner has a 9 loser hand and does not know what to do over 3H, with a 3433 pattern.Of course then it becomes easier to blame him if his bid proves to be disastrous!
#33
Posted 2017-October-27, 08:16
The_Badger, on 2017-October-26, 03:13, said:
It is an automatic response to raise from 1M to 2M with 4 card support, but when opener is stronger, and there might be an advantage to him playing the hand, the forcing 2NT rebid defining the hand shape perfectly, even with 4 card support does at least allow a 'second bite of the cherry' for opener. I'd rather raise to 3M/4M immediately with a shapelier hand than this pudding of a 3343.
I fully agree.
#34
Posted 2017-October-27, 10:27
George Carlin
#35
Posted 2017-October-27, 11:18
Therefore, being a team game, I bid 2NT because it's a 3433 hand with a lot of quacks.
#36
Posted 2017-October-27, 11:24
George Carlin
#37
Posted 2017-October-27, 11:38
msjennifer, on 2017-October-27, 08:05, said:
People keep on saying that partner will checkback if unbalanced, but this is simply untrue if partner has 4 hearts unbalanced without 4 spades. Checkback systems are designed to check back for FIVE - THREE fits in responder's first major (or 4-4 in the OTHER major), not FOUR-FOUR fits which 2nt ostensibly denies for 99.9% of natural system players. If opener can have 4 cd support, you have to make your checkback system a lot more complicated.
With Kxx KTxx xx Axx are you going to checkback or bid 3nt? Surely you bid 3nt, which is more vulnerable on diamond lead than 4H. Even stiff diamond, Kxx KTxx x Qxxxx you aren't checking back, because you fear something like 1c-1h-2nt-3d!-3s-3nt-4h when opener has 3 cd support.
Denying 4 can also complicate things when responder has borderline slam values, he will think no 4-4 fit, so no extra trick with a ruff, that can discourage a slam exploration when it's there.
Partner is simply more likely to have a ruffing value somewhere than be exactly 3433, that is why we "presume" he is at least slightly unbalanced. If partner offers 3nt after 1c-1h-3h, of course we can pass, if you aren't playing 3nt as conventional. Might be easier to reach if playing the 3d = 18-19 bal raise gadget. Or maybe one can get to 3nt via 1c-1h-3h-3s!-3nt where 3S is a shortness ask, then 3nt shows the bal hand, and partner can pass. But to deny 4cd support as your first bid, when the auction will go 1c-1h-2nt-3nt all pass A LOT when 4H is better, with partner unbalanced and 4 hearts, or bal with a small doubleton in a minor, to me is anti-percentage.
#38
Posted 2017-October-27, 15:44
gwnn, on 2017-October-27, 03:27, said:
to clarify, though, I think 4H is by no means awful, it is my second choice.
Your 3H bids must be a lot stronger than mine. After 1C - 1H (opps passing), I would bid 3H with
AQx
QJxx
x
Axxxx
which doesn't play very well at all for 4H opposite the hand I gave earlier. But that's just me.
Cheers,
mike
#39
Posted 2017-October-27, 15:46
#40
Posted 2017-October-27, 17:37
miamijd, on 2017-October-27, 15:44, said:
AQx
QJxx
x
Axxxx
which doesn't play very well at all for 4H opposite the hand I gave earlier. But that's just me.
Cheers,
mike
You are positing opponents who have more than half the deck and 11 cd diamond fit who keep quiet.
I think our point is that responder can see the vulnerability also, so should raise 3 to 4 on not much of excuse. Why should opener be the one to stretch when responder is unlimited and it's not the last call of auction? Bidding 4H might cause responder to get to 5 level or 6 level down 1 sometimes, canceling out some of the games you might reach that we don't by bidding 3H (not all of which make, anyway).